Outlook March 2024: Global Economic Trends

The ISM manufacturing index for February, published on March 1st, came out slightly below expectations, lower than January’s level and below the threshold of 50, raising fears of a contraction in activity. The FOMC subsequently toned down this cautious message on 20 March, revising upward its expectations for growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024 from 1.4%, expected last December, to 2.1%, finally removing the specter of a recession in 2024. […]

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